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Finding Value In The Early NCAA Football Totals Part 1

by admin on Thursday, July 4th, 2013

NCAA LogoNCAA Football fans, hungry for some sort of wagering options on their favorite sport, were ecstatic last week when win totals for 125 college football teams for the 2013-2014 season came out mid June.

The official college football season does not get started for almost two whole months but, as far as wagering is concerned, the flag has already dropped and the race is on.  Next year promises to be a banner year for wagering on NCAA football as its popularity is increasing year after year.

The big Las Vegas sportsbooks will all be posting their own version of the win totals for football next year but, for those of us who just can’t wait, let’s have a go at the already posted win totals and look at what the experts at covers.com have to say about them. These are their best estimates at the odds to go over the posted numbers by a few of the top ranked teams in the country.

The Iowa Hawkeyes were given a low over 5.5 win total for next year and the guys at covers seem to think that this number is about right. Odds on the 5.5 wins…even. It could go either way, but I’d take the over on this one.

They are only giving the Arkansas Razorbacks 5.5 total wins for next year and the expert guys and I agree that Arkansas can do better than that.  The experts take the over at -140, meaning they don’t think that it will happen.  The combination of a new head coach and something to prove after last year will inspire the Razorbacks to excel. Look for them to start the season 4-0.

The BYU Cougars allowed only 14 points per game last year and they will be back better than ever. Early odds on their win totals came out as 8.5 for the Cougars. Covers experts agree that, if all goes as expected, BYU should have another great year and exceed that 8.5 number.

Another bunch of Cougars, this time from Washington State are not doing so well for next year and the early win totals only gave them 4.5 for the season. Head Coach Mike Leach will be on a mission this year to get his team back to their winning ways. The experts are calling for this one to be a push.

Read Part 2

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